What is the probability of winning in the La Primitiva raffle?
The La Primitiva draw is held every week - on Thursday and Saturday - organised by the Sociedad Estatal Loterías y Apuestas del Estado. The simplest bet costs one euro and the bettor must choose six numbers between 1 and 49 plus a number from 0 to 9 that gives access to win the special category prize. With these conditions, do you know what is the probability of winning the draw?
Currently there are seven categories of prizes and these are the chances of winning:
Special category: 6+1 correct numbers. Probability: 1 in 139,838,160.
First category: 6 correct numbers. Odds: 1 in 13.983.816
Second Category: 5+C. Odds: 1 in 2.330.636
Third category: 5 hits. Odds: 1 in 55,491
Fourth category: 4 hits. Odds: 1 in 1,032
Fifth category: 3 hits. Odds: 1 in 56,6
Winnings: 0+C. Odds: 1 in 10
Is it easier to win El Gordo de La Primitiva?
The El Gordo de La Primitiva draw, which is held every Sunday and is also organised by the Sociedad Estatal Loterías y Apuestas del Estado, consists of the choice of five numbers from 1 to 54 plus a draw from 0 to 9. In this case, the simple bet costs 1.5 euros and the chance of winning the first category prize, or in other words, winning all the numbers, is 1 in 31,625,100. In other words, it is 4.4 times "easier" to hit El Gordo de La Primitiva than the special category prize of La Primitiva.
And compared to the Euromillions?
The simple bet in the Euromillions draw costs 2.50 euros - there are two weekly draws: on Tuesdays and Fridays - and consists of choosing five numbers between 1 and 50 plus two "star numbers" from 1 to 12. In this case the chance is 1 in 305,101,440.
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